
\begin{table}
\caption{Regression estimates of the association between prior foreign aid (using aid commitment volumes from AidData) and CPA implementation at the post-CPA year level. Implementation scores range from 2 to 95. See text for detailed description of estimators.}
\begin{center}
\begin{scriptsize}
\begin{tabular}{l D{.}{.}{5.3} D{.}{.}{3.3} D{.}{.}{3.3} D{.}{.}{3.3}}
\toprule
 & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Within-Between random effects for post-conflict periods} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Prais-Winsten FGLS with conflict-specific AR(1) autocorrelation and PCSEs} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Country fixed effects and robust SEs} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Aid instrumented plus country and year FEs} \\
\midrule
AidData Foreign aid commitments (within effect)     & 6.89^{*}   &            &            &           \\
                                                    & (2.47)     &            &            &           \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (between effect)    & 44.06^{*}  &            &            &           \\
                                                    & (18.20)    &            &            &           \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (composite effect)  &            & 6.46^{*}   & 6.90^{*}   &           \\
                                                    &            & (3.20)     & (2.73)     &           \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (IV, within effect) &            &            &            & 13.11^{*} \\
                                                    &            &            &            & (5.05)    \\
Years since conflict (logged)                       & 15.88^{*}  & 15.91^{*}  & 16.72^{*}  &           \\
                                                    & (0.97)     & (0.69)     & (1.61)     &           \\
Transitional power sharing government               & 4.47       & -2.96      & 29.85^{*}  &           \\
                                                    & (10.50)    & (3.97)     & (7.63)     &           \\
Dispute resolution committee                        & 22.07^{*}  & 12.03^{*}  &            &           \\
                                                    & (10.21)    & (2.28)     &            &           \\
Female signatories                                  & 10.47      & 10.81^{*}  &            &           \\
                                                    & (18.46)    & (5.08)     &            &           \\
Conflict duration (logged)                          & 2.60       & 0.14       & -50.39^{*} &           \\
                                                    & (4.72)     & (1.76)     & (4.33)     &           \\
Battle deaths during conflict (logged)              & -2.07      & 1.38       &            &           \\
                                                    & (3.92)     & (1.22)     &            &           \\
Territorial conflict                                & -10.03     & -10.66^{*} &            &           \\
                                                    & (14.75)    & (4.85)     &            &           \\
Years with mediation  (logged)                      & 0.77       & -4.14      & -61.16^{*} &           \\
                                                    & (11.24)    & (3.95)     & (5.92)     &           \\
New leader since CPA                                & -0.43      & -0.71      & -0.14      &           \\
                                                    & (1.96)     & (2.07)     & (2.37)     &           \\
Population (logged)                                 & -0.78      & -2.84      & -10.07     &           \\
                                                    & (7.43)     & (3.51)     & (14.26)    &           \\
GDP (IHS transformation, lagged)                    & -12.10^{*} & 1.40       & -14.06^{*} &           \\
                                                    & (3.18)     & (3.55)     & (3.55)     &           \\
Economic growth                                     & 0.10       & -0.02      & 0.10       &           \\
                                                    & (0.09)     & (0.09)     & (0.09)     &           \\
Excluded population                                 & 0.40       & -4.24      & -0.77      &           \\
                                                    & (4.28)     & (3.89)     & (5.04)     &           \\
Natural resources                                   & -16.71     & -9.04^{*}  &            &           \\
                                                    & (13.63)    & (2.49)     &            &           \\
Democracy                                           & 1.23       & 0.14       & 1.19       &           \\
                                                    & (2.13)     & (2.35)     & (2.28)     &           \\
GDP per capita before conflict (logged)             & 18.97^{*}  & 2.39       &            &           \\
                                                    & (6.52)     & (4.19)     &            &           \\
Civil war in neighboring country                    & -4.60^{*}  & -2.87^{*}  & -4.61^{*}  &           \\
                                                    & (1.41)     & (1.35)     & (1.73)     &           \\
Foreign policy similarity with US                   & 3.18       & 13.82^{*}  & 1.07       &           \\
                                                    & (8.35)     & (6.93)     & (7.36)     &           \\
UN PKO personnel (logged)                           & 0.10       & 0.25       & 0.09       &           \\
                                                    & (0.23)     & (0.19)     & (0.30)     &           \\
Region fixed effects (baseline: East Asia)          &            &            &            &           \\
                                                    &            &            &            &           \\
\quad Europe & Central Asia                         & -7.36      & -9.10      &            &           \\
                                                    & (19.60)    & (5.30)     &            &           \\
\quad Latin America & Caribbean                     & -22.01     & -16.54^{*} &            &           \\
                                                    & (29.98)    & (6.75)     &            &           \\
\quad Middle East & North Africa                    & -42.35     & -24.17     &            &           \\
                                                    & (25.58)    & (13.02)    &            &           \\
\quad South Asia                                    & 5.58       & -22.99^{*} &            &           \\
                                                    & (29.43)    & (9.06)     &            &           \\
\quad Sub-Saharan Africa                            & -4.92      & -7.94      &            &           \\
                                                    & (16.89)    & (4.75)     &            &           \\
Intercept                                           & 191.10^{*} & 47.21      &            &           \\
                                                    & (90.62)    & (27.36)    &            &           \\
\midrule
AIC                                                 & 2271.95    &            &            &           \\
BIC                                                 & 2385.28    &            &            &           \\
Log Likelihood                                      & -1105.98   &            &            &           \\
Num. obs.                                           & 323        & 323        & 323        & 323       \\
Num. groups: pam\_caseid                            & 34         &            &            &           \\
Num. groups: pam\_year\_count                       & 10         &            &            &           \\
Var: pam\_caseid (Intercept)                        & 404.34     &            &            &           \\
Var: pam\_year\_count (Intercept)                   & 0.00       &            &            &           \\
Var: Residual                                       & 57.10      &            &            &           \\
R$^2$                                               &            & 0.86       & 0.90       & 0.83      \\
Num. groups                                         &            & 34         &            &           \\
Adj. R$^2$                                          &            &            & 0.88       & 0.80      \\
RMSE                                                &            &            & 7.54       & 9.62      \\
\bottomrule
\multicolumn{5}{l}{\tiny{Standard errors in parentheses. $^* p < 0.05$ (two-tailed test).}}
\end{tabular}
\end{scriptsize}
\label{tab:m_aidd_comm}
\end{center}
\end{table}
